Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 5.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.34%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
| 81.68% ( | 12.6% ( | 5.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( | 59.14% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.09% ( | 6.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.64% ( | 25.36% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.84% ( | 56.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.44% ( | 88.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
| 2-0 @ 13.85% ( 3-0 @ 12.34% ( 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 4-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 5-0 @ 4.41% ( 5-1 @ 2.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 6-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 6-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.52% Total : 81.67% | 1-1 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 2-2 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 12.6% | 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 1-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.72% |