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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Cagliari

Arnautovic (13'), Martinez (26'), Aurel Bisseck (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piccoli (48')
Deiola (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 5.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.34%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
81.68% (0.081000000000003 0.08)12.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)5.72% (-0.044899999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.81% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)36.96% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.09% (0.013000000000005 0.01)6.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)25.36% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.84% (-0.149 -0.15)56.16% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.44% (-0.087 -0.09)88.56% (0.086000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 81.67%
    Cagliari 5.72%
    Draw 12.6%
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 13.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 12.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.25% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 4.41% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.67%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 12.6%
0-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Cagliari

Inter Milan
90.3%
Draw
8.1%
Cagliari
1.6%
62
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-3
Inter Milan
Bastoni (53'), Martinez (71'), Calhanoglu (78' pen.)
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
2-2
Cagliari
Thuram (12'), Calhanoglu (74' pen.)
Shomurodov (64'), Viola (83')
Prati (40'), Mina (73')
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Inter Milan

Luvumbo (83')
Dumfries (21'), Martinez (30')
Mkhitaryan (81')
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
rhs 2.0


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