Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 30, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
3 - 0
Monza

Viola (49'), Gaetano (73'), Luvumbo (90+2')
Luperto (12'), Piccoli (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Izzo (29'), Balde (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cagliari
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Parma
Saturday, March 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Monza
53.55% ( 4.5)	25.04% ( -0.25)	21.41% ( -4.25)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-3.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

-2.8)

54.16% (

2.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

-2.39)

75.57% (

2.4)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

0.75)

20.21% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.48% (

1.18)

52.52% (

-1.18)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.73% (

-5.5)

40.27% (

5.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1% (

-5.4)

76.9% (

5.4)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 53.54%

Monza 21.41%

Draw 25.04%

Cagliari	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 13.01% ( 1.63) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 1.5) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.66) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.97) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.7) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.61) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.41) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.41%