Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
| 32.69% ( | 29.05% ( | 38.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.81% ( | 62.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.12% ( | 81.87% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( | 35.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( | 71.88% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( | 31.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( | 67.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.25% |