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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Venezia

Lecce
1 - 1
Venezia

Baschirotto (65')
Baschirotto (46'), Guilbert (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gallo (50' og.)
Carboni (39'), Marcandalli (55'), Perez (64'), Cande (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Roma
Saturday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LecceDrawVenezia
40.43% (0.119 0.12)26.78% (0.023 0.02)32.79% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.123 -0.12)53.89% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.104 -0.1)75.35% (0.105 0.11)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.27% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.157 -0.16)30.76% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (-0.186 -0.19)67.02% (0.18700000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 40.43%
    Venezia 32.79%
    Draw 26.77%
LecceDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.79%

How you voted: Lecce vs Venezia

Lecce
44.0%
Draw
48.0%
Venezia
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Venezia
0-1
Lecce

Yeboah (77')
Dorgu (70')
Rafia (2'), Gaspar (45+1'), Guilbert (64'), Sansone (85')
May 20, 2021 5.30pm
Lecce
1-1
Venezia
Pettinari (65')
Hjulmand (16'), Lucioni (45+7'), Tachtsidis (81')
Rodriguez (90+6')
Aramu (45+3' pen.)
Mazzocchi (45+6'), Maenpaa (60'), Ceccaroni (73'), Maleh (80')
May 17, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 16, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Venezia
2-3
Lecce
Lucioni (45+1' og.), Maleh (57')
Di Mariano (60'), Svoboda (70')
Pettinari (11'), Coda (50', 71')
Majer (40'), Lucioni (54'), Rodriguez (81'), Gallo (89'), Maggio (90+5'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
2-2
Venezia
Mancosu (20'), Coda (77')
Lucioni (52')
Forte (35', 41')
Modolo (16'), Johnsen (81')
Johnsen (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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