Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match.