Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 12, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
1 - 0
Monza

Fila (72', 72')
Zerbin (10'), Yeboah (62'), Egill Ellertsson (67'), Fila (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Urbanski (27'), Caldirola (68'), Pereira (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Venezia
Sunday, April 6 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-3 Como
Saturday, April 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezia in this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Monza
43.05% ( 0.94)	26.42% ( -0.24)	30.52% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.83% (

0.69)

53.17% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26% (

0.59)

74.74% (

-0.59)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

0.79)

24.49% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.05% (

1.1)

58.95% (

-1.1)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.15)

31.96% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0.17)

68.41% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Venezia 43.05%

Monza 30.52%

Draw 26.42%

Venezia	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.52%