Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 19, 2025 at 5pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 1
Napoli

Mota (33'), Akpa-Akpro (54'), Bianco (70'), Caldirola (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McTominay (72')
Marin (30'), Ngonge (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 1-0 Monza
Saturday, April 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Empoli
Monday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Monza	Draw	Napoli
18.29% ( 0)	23.31% ( 0)	58.4% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.95% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-0)

51.29% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0)

73.12% (

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.98% (

42.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54% (

78.46%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71% (

-0)

17.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.37% (

-0)

47.63% (

Score Analysis

Monza 18.29%

Napoli 58.4%

Draw 23.3%

Monza	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.29%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 12.75% 0-2 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.4%