/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
-
Scott McTominay
18'
-
Romelu Lukaku
42'
-
Romelu Lukaku
56'
-
Scott McTominay
61'
-
Saba Goglichidze
87'
Napoli vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F15%2Fantonio-conte.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
70.32%
▲
(+0.75)
Draw
18.6%
▼
(-0.10)
Empoli
11.09%
▼
(-0.65)
Both Teams to Score:
44.71%
▼
(-1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.02%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 2.5
45.98%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 3.5
31.71%
▼
(-1.20)
Under 3.5
68.29%
▲
(+1.20)
Over 4.5
15.87%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 4.5
84.13%
▲
(+0.86)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
88.15%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
11.85%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
62.87%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
37.13%
▲
(+0.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
50.73%
▼
(-1.96)
Under 0.5
49.27%
▲
(+1.97)
Over 1.5
15.85%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 1.5
84.15%
▲
(+1.43)
Score analysis
Napoli
70.31%
Draw
18.6%
Empoli
11.09%
Napoli
2-0
@
13.28%
▲
(+0.54)
1-0 @ 12.45% ▲ (+0.59)
3-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.19)
5-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.31%
1-0 @ 12.45% ▲ (+0.59)
3-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.19)
5-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.31%
Draw
1-1
@
8.82%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.6%
0-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.6%
Empoli
0-1
@
4.13%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 11.09%
1-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 11.09%