Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 1
Lazio

Colombo (34'), Goglichidze (45+2'), Pezzella (84'), Viti (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dia (1')
Pellegrini (56'), Hysaj (66'), Vecino (87'), Provstgaard (90+4')
Hysaj (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Parma
Monday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Lazio
18.89% ( 0.39)	24.99% ( 0.18)	56.13% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 44.27% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

-0.17)

56.74% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-0.14)

77.69% (

0.14)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.47% (

0.35)

44.53% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.45% (

0.28)

80.55% (

-0.28)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8% (

-0.29)

20.2% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5% (

-0.47)

52.5% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Empoli 18.89%

Lazio 56.12%

Draw 24.98%

Empoli	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 18.89%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 14.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.12%