Serie A Gameweek 34
Lazio
Apr 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Parma
  • Valentin Castellanos 50' yellowcard
  • Pedro 79' goal
  • Pedro 84' goal
  • goal Jacob Ondrejka 3'
  • goal Jacob Ondrejka 46'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Leoni 54'
  • yellowcard Hernani 75'
  • yellowcard Milan Djuric 80'

Lazio vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 5.30pm
Genoa 0 - 2 Lazio
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 5.30pm
Parma 1 - 0 Juventus
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ange-Yoan Bonny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Lazio 67.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 19.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Parma 13.27% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.86% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.75% ▲ (+0.03)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 87.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 61.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 38.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 54.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 45.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 18.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 81.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Lazio 67%
Draw 19.7%
Parma 13.27%
Lazio
2-0 @ 12.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 11.8% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.7%
Parma
0-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 13.27%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
Parma
Dec 1, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
Lazio
  • Dennis Man 6' goal
  • Mandela Keita 33' yellowcard
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Anas Haj Mohamed 53' goal
  • Nahuel Estevez 57' yellowcard
  • Botond Balogh 64' yellowcard
  • Enrico Del Prato 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 30'
  • yellowcard Mario Gila 45'+7'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 80'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 90'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Lazio
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Parma
  • Francesco Acerbi 90' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Brunetta 10'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Gagliolo 49'
  • yellowcard Hernani 90'+2'
Coppa Italia
Lazio
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Parma
  • Marco Parolo 23' goal
  • Simone Colombi 90' goal
  • goal Valentin Mihaila 83'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Parma
Jan 10, 2021 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Lazio
  • Maxime Busi 23' yellowcard
  • Gaston Brugman 28' yellowcard
  • Hernani 63' yellowcard
  • Botond Balogh 66' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Alberto 55'
  • goal Felipe Caicedo 67'
  • yellowcard Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 68'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Parma
Feb 9, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ennio Tardini
Lazio
  • Roberto D'Aversa 29' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 35' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Caprari 67' yellowcard
  • Bruno Alves 91' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Caicedo 41'
  • yellowcard Felipe Caicedo 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Leiva 58'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 74'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Lazio
Sep 22, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Parma
  • Ciro Immobile 8' goal
  • Lucas Leiva 47' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 67' goal
  • yellowcard Dejan Kulusevski 24'
  • yellowcard Antonino Barilla 61'
  • yellowcard Simone Iacoponi 91'

Form Data

Genoa 0 - 2 Lazio
Lazio 3 - 1 Bodo/Glimt
Lazio 1 - 1 Roma
Bodo/Glimt 2 - 0 Lazio
Atalanta 0 - 1 Lazio
Lazio 1 - 1 Torino
Parma 1 - 0 Juventus
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma
Parma 2 - 2 Inter Milan
Hellas Verona 0 - 0 Parma
Monza 1 - 1 Parma
Parma 2 - 2 Torino