Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
Parma

Pedro (79', 84')
Castellanos (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ondrejka (3', 46')
Leoni (54'), Hernani (75'), Djuric (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Lazio
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 1-0 Juventus
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Parma
67.02% ( 0.07)	19.7% ( -0.02)	13.27% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.56% (

-0.03)

45.43% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.23% (

-0.03)

67.76% (

0.03)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.38% (

0.01)

12.61% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.27% (

0.02)

38.72% (

-0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.77% (

-0.1)

45.22% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.88% (

-0.08)

81.11% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 67%

Parma 13.27%

Draw 19.7%

Lazio	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 67%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.7%	0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.27%