Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio2 - 2Parma
We said: Lazio 1-1 Parma
Although Lazio have the historical advantage in this fixture, the capital club's downturn in results at the Olimpico and Parma's defensive improvement under Chivu suggest that the Emilians will avoid a ninth consecutive loss in Rome. The Aquilotti have drawn four consecutive home games, with the last three ending 1-1, and the visitors will back themselves to limit Baroni's men in another score draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Parma |
67.02% ( 0.07) | 19.7% ( -0.02) | 13.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
