/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Sebastian Otoa
22'
-
Andrea Pinamonti
51'
-
Koni De Winter
80'
-
Stefano Sabelli
85'
-
Valentin Castellanos
32'
-
Nicolo Rovella
45'+3'
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Boulaye Dia
65'
-
Reda Belahyane
73'
Genoa vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fmattia-zaccagni.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Genoa
31.92%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
28.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Lazio
40.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
47.12%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.18%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
58.82%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
20.67%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
79.33%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
8.72%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
91.28%
▼
(-0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
66.11%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
33.89%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
29.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
70.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
71.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
28.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
35.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
64.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Genoa
31.92%
Draw
28.02%
Lazio
40.04%
Genoa
1-0
@
10.53%
2-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 31.92%
2-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 31.92%
Draw
1-1
@
13.13%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.02%
0-0 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.02%
Lazio
0-1
@
12.14%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.04%
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.04%