Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 23, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 2
Lazio

Pinamonti (51'), De Winter (80'), Sabelli (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Castellanos (32'), Dia (65')
Rovella (45+3')
Belahyane (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Bodo/Glimt (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, April 17 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lazio
31.92% ( 0.09)	28.03% ( -0.02)	40.05% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.18% (

0.07)

58.82% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.67% (

0.05)

79.33% (

-0.05)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11% (

0.1)

33.89% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.44% (

0.11)

70.56% (

-0.11)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

-0.01)

28.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

-0.01)

64.55% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Genoa 31.92%

Lazio 40.04%

Draw 28.02%

Genoa	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.92%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.04%