Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.31) 
