Bologna logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Empoli logo

Bologna
2 - 1
Empoli

Fabbian (7'), Dallinga (86')
Orsolini (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kovalenko (33')
De Sciglio (19'), Marianucci (20'), Sambia (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia semi-final between Bologna and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Empoli

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawEmpoli
57.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)24.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)18.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (-0.012 -0.01)54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)75.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)49.79% (0.012 0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 57.67%
    Empoli 18.3%
    Draw 24.01%
BolognaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 0.94%
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 57.67%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: Bologna vs Empoli

Bologna
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Empoli
6.1%
66
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Empoli
0-3
Bologna
Orsolini (23'), Dallinga (29', 51')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Empoli
1-1
Bologna
Colombo (24')
Henderson (36'), Grassi (40'), Pezzella (78')
Dominguez (44')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
1-1
Empoli
Fabbian (2')
Gyasi (3')
Pezzella (55'), Henderson (90+4'), Vasquez (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Empoli
0-1
Bologna

Luperto (28'), Pezzella (30'), Maleh (90+6')
Fabbian (90+4')
Freuler (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
Orsolini (21', 66', 90+2')
Corazza (44'), El Azzouzi (58')

Cacace (10'), Walukiewicz (39'), Ranocchia (45+3'), Cancellieri (81')
> Preview