Serie A Gameweek 33
Cagliari
Apr 23, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Fiorentina
  • Roberto Piccoli 7' goal
  • Jose Luis Palomino 65' yellowcard
  • Roberto Piccoli 79' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Gosens 36'
  • goal Lucas Beltran 48'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 84'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+6'

Cagliari vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 5.00pm
Inter Milan 3 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 2.00pm
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 26.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 25.56% ▲ (+0.39)
Fiorentina 47.99% ▼ (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45% ▼ (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.15% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 2.5 51.85% ▲ (+1.44)
Over 3.5 26.39% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 3.5 73.61% ▲ (+1.26)
Over 4.5 12.25% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 4.5 87.75% ▲ (+0.83)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 65.63% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 0.5 34.37% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 28.93% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 1.5 71.08% ▲ (+0.69)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 78.38% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 0.5 21.62% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 1.5 45.28% ▼ (-1.28)
Under 1.5 54.73% ▲ (+1.29)

Score analysis

Cagliari 26.46%
Draw 25.55%
Fiorentina 47.98%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.32)
2-1 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.55%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.36)
1-2 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.12)
0-4 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.98%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 15
Fiorentina
Dec 8, 2024 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari
  • Danilo Cataldi 24' goal
  • Pietro Comuzzo 30' yellowcard
  • Dodo 58' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 35'
  • yellowcard Davide Nicola 83'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 88'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Cagliari
May 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Fiorentina
  • Alessandro Deiola 64' goal
  • Kingstone Mutandwa 85' goal
  • Yerry Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 39'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 71'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 89'
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 89'
  • goal Arthur 90'+13'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • Alberto Dossena 21' goal
  • Gino Infantino 86' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Cagliari
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Giorgio Altare 10' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 47' goal
  • Walter Mazzarri 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 81' yellowcard
  • Luca Ceppitelli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 29'
  • redcard Alvaro Odriozola 65'
  • goal Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Sottil 75'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 89'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
Oct 24, 2021 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Cristiano Biraghi 21' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 42' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 49' goal
  • yellowcard Keita Balde 20'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 48'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Cagliari
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 27'
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 67'

Form Data

Inter Milan 3 - 1 Cagliari
Empoli 0 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 3 - 0 Monza
Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 1 Genoa
Bologna 2 - 1 Cagliari
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Celje
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma
Celje 1 - 2 Fiorentina
AC Milan 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
Fiorentina 3 - 0 Juventus