Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.26%) and 1-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 37.58% | 22.15% | 40.26% |
| Both teams to score 68.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.51% | 31.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.04% | 52.96% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% | 17.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% | 48.29% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% | 16.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% | 46.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Leeds United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 4.57% 2-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 7.11% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.46% Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.28% 3-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.54% Total : 40.26% |


