Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 26, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
0 - 1
Cracovia


Samper (31'), Scalet (57'), Najemski (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perkovic (68')
Ghita (43'), Kakabadze (63'), Kucharczyk (73')
Kakabadze (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, April 19 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Cracovia
Monday, April 21 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawKS Cracovia
42.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.31% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)33.63% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.66% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)42.95% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (0.028000000000006 0.03)65.35% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)20.56% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.09% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.048000000000002 0.05)24.9% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.067999999999998 0.07)59.51% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 42.06%
    KS Cracovia 33.63%
    Draw 24.3%
Motor LublinDrawKS Cracovia
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.63%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 13
Cracovia
6-2
Motor Lublin
Kristjan Olafsson (6', 44', 72'), Kallman (77', 80'), Bochnak (86')
Atanasov (39'), Hasic (41'), Skovgaard (76')
Stolarski (1'), Scalet (8')
Rudol (49'), Samper (61'), Ceglarz (69')
rhs 2.0


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