World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya

Mauritania
0 - 1
Senegal

Fofana (24'), Diaw (45+5'), Ngom (84'), Ba (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diallo (27')
Mendy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mauritania and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Sudan
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Senegal

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Senegal
26.38% ( 0.7)	28.07% ( 0.29)	45.55% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.98% (

-0.56)

61.02% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.99% (

-0.42)

81.01% (

0.42)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.54% (

0.3)

39.45% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.85% (

0.28)

76.15% (

-0.28)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.76)

26.8% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91% (

-1.01)

62.09% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 26.38%

Senegal 45.54%

Draw 28.06%

Mauritania	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.38%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 13.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.87% Total : 45.54%