MX23RW : Monday, April 29 11:23:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lille

Troyes
1 - 1
Lille

Lopes (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakite (52')
Andre (15'), Gudmundsson (26'), Gomes (32'), Ounas (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 2-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-2 Lille

Of course, Troyes will be desperate to give their fans something to cheer about on the final day of the campaign, having failed to win any of their previous 20 league matches, but Lille are expected to heap more misery on the relegated outfit while securing Europa League football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawLille
11.4% (-1.299 -1.3) 17.87% (0.327 0.33) 70.73% (0.971 0.97)
Both teams to score 48.18% (-5.538 -5.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-5.056 -5.06)41.92% (5.055 5.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-5.282 -5.28)64.32% (5.282 5.28)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.9% (-5.459 -5.46)46.1% (5.457 5.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2% (-4.566 -4.57)81.8% (4.564 4.56)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-1.111 -1.11)10.61% (1.11 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-2.55 -2.55)34.41% (2.549 2.55)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 11.4%
    Lille 70.72%
    Draw 17.87%
TroyesDrawLille
1-0 @ 3.79% (0.311 0.31)
2-1 @ 3.29% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.348 -0.35)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.4%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.315 0.32)
0-0 @ 4.89% (1.031 1.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.645 -0.65)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.87%
0-2 @ 12.3% (1.61 1.61)
0-1 @ 10.97% (1.883 1.88)
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 9.2% (0.811 0.81)
1-3 @ 7.13% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-4 @ 5.16% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 4% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.642 -0.64)
0-5 @ 2.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.79% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 70.72%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lille

Troyes
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
Lille
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
gameweek 19
Lille
5-1
Troyes
Bayo (16', 47'), David (45+2', 88'), Virginius (75')
Balde (65')
May 1, 2022 12pm
gameweek 35
Troyes
3-0
Lille
Tardieu (43' pen., 86' pen.), Ugbo (55' pen.)

Sanches (50'), Botman (54'), Gudmundsson (61')
Sanches (50'), Yilmaz (68')
Dec 4, 2021 6pm
gameweek 17
Lille
2-1
Troyes
David (48'), Giraudon (85' og.)
Xeka (41'), Yilmaz (66'), Onana (88')
Dingome (6')
Kouame (22'), Giraudon (33'), Salmier (33'), Dingome (59')
Jan 20, 2018 7pm
Oct 14, 2017 7pm
Lille
2-2
Troyes
Araujo (12'), Mendes (74')
Pepe (66')
Amadou (90')
Darbion (3'), Niane (90' pen.)
Dingome (50'), Traore (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!