Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
69.94% ( -1.28) | 15.63% ( 0.45) | 14.42% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 67.32% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.38% ( -0.36) | 22.61% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.26% ( -0.49) | 41.73% ( 0.49) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.07% ( -0.29) | 5.93% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.32% ( -0.84) | 22.67% ( 0.84) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% ( 0.72) | 28.43% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.8% ( 0.89) | 64.19% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 2% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.2% Total : 69.94% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.54% Total : 15.63% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.4% Total : 14.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
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