Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.54%) and 3-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.