Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
4 - 1
WBA U21s

Allen (12', 18'), Ilesanmi (15'), Osong (63')
Allen (37'), Perry (76'), Perry (77')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Chimeziri (26')
Diomande (45+3'), Williams (69')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and West Bromwich Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-1 Derby U21s
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

West Bromwich Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: WBA U21s 0-5 Man City U21s
Saturday, October 26 at 11.30am in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (4.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawWest Bromwich Albion Under-21s
43.04% (0.173 0.17)21.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)35.54% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 71.27% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.95% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)48.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9% (0.042999999999992 0.04)14.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)41.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)17.02% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (-0.168 -0.17)47.16% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 43.04%
    West Bromwich Albion Under-21s 35.54%
    Draw 21.42%
Derby County Under-21sDrawWest Bromwich Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 43.04%
1-1 @ 8.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.54%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2024 2pm
WBA U21s
0-1
Derby U21s

Mandey (82')
Keilen (34')
Robinson (38'), Bardell (42'), Fornah (53')
Apr 3, 2023 7pm
Derby U21s
1-5
WBA U21s
Aghatise (58')
Faal (2', 51'), Cleary (40', 72', 86')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
WBA U21s
2-1
Derby U21s
Faal (7'), Cleary (78')
Haigh (70')