Premier League 2 - Div 1

Oct 7, 2024 at 7pm UK

Eppleton Colliery Football Ground

Sunderland U21s
6 - 0
Derby U21s

Watson (19', 90+3'), Connolly (26'), Kelly (53' pen.), Rusyn (87'), Jones (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gill (2'), Stepien-Iwumene (42'), Bartley (90+4')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Sunderland Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham U21s 5-2 Sunderland U21s
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Derby U21s 4-1 Wolves U21s
Monday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
54.05% ( 0.1)	19.85% ( 0.07)	26.11% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 71.41% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.38% (

-0.51)

25.62% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.28% (

-0.67)

45.72% (

0.67)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01% (

-0.14)

9.99% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.99% (

-0.33)

33.01% (

0.33)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.39)

20.66% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

-0.62)

53.25% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Sunderland Under-21s 54.05%

Derby County Under-21s 26.11%

Draw 19.85%

Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 54.05%	1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.85%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.11%