Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.3%) and 3-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s
41.43% ( 0.03)	22.09% ( 0.02)	36.48% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 68.82% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.71% (

-0.12)

31.28% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.27% (

-0.14)

52.72% (

0.13)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.04)

16% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.67% (

-0.07)

45.32% (

0.06)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

-0.08)

18.06% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.02% (

-0.13)

48.97% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 41.43%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s 36.48%

Draw 22.09%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 41.43%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.48%