Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium

Saints U21s
2 - 4
Brighton U21s

Ehibhatioman (71'), O'Brien-Whitmarsh (90+1')
Armitage (45+1'), MacLeod (46')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ifill (3', 41'), Vickers (51'), Tabares (53')
Albarus (19'), Duffus (67'), Knight (79')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 0-2 Palace U21s
Friday, October 25 at 7.15pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brighton U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.38%) and 2-3 (4.82%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
35.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)21.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 72% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.9% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)47.62% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)13.6% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.024999999999999 0.02)40.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 35.36%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 43.41%
    Draw 21.23%
Southampton Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.94%
4-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 7.24%
3-3 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 43.41%