Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
1 - 1
Lens

Diakite (41')
Diakite (22'), Okumu (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Said (45+2')
Khusanov (19'), Medina (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Reims
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-0 Freiburg
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Lens have had the better of Reims in recent fixtures, they have never beaten them on three successive occasions in the top flight, and with a relatively healthy squad, we expect a much better showing from the home side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Reims had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Lens
35.57% ( 0.98)	26.36% ( -0.1)	38.07% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23% (

0.54)

51.76% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

0.46)

73.53% (

-0.46)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

0.86)

27.95% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

1.08)

63.57% (

-1.08)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

-0.24)

26.49% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31% (

-0.32)

61.68% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Reims 35.57%

Lens 38.07%

Draw 26.35%

Reims	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.57%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.07%