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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Monday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Portland are currently experiencing a fine run of form, and after beating San Jose on home turf in July, we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim maximum points in Wednesday's contest.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
61.46% (-0.104 -0.1) 20.71% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 17.83% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.118 -0.12)40.94% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.121 -0.12)63.33% (0.119 0.12)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)12.84% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (-0.137 -0.14)39.18% (0.134 0.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-0.012 -0.01)36.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 61.46%
    San Jose Earthquakes 17.83%
    Draw 20.71%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 61.46%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Portland
Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')
Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')
Jul 24, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')
May 19, 2022 3.30am
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Gameweek 42
Portland
2-0
Earthquakes
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')
Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 23
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
Lopez (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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