Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
1 - 2
St Johnstone

Ebiye (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Clark (18'), Sidibeh (45+1')
Keltjens (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Ross County
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone

With so much on the line for St Johnstone, they will likely be able to pull out an important three points here, even though it is guaranteed to be a close game. Whether that victory is enough to guarantee their Scottish Premiership status for another year will remain to be seen though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	St Johnstone
48.7% ( 0.19)	24.38% ( 0.04)	26.93% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 55.58% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

-0.33)

46.61% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

-0.32)

68.88% (

0.32)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.05)

19.21% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.11% (

-0.09)

50.9% (

0.09)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-0.35)

31.21% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

-0.41)

67.56% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 48.7%

St Johnstone 26.93%

Draw 24.37%

Motherwell	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.7%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.93%