MX23RW : Monday, April 29 18:05:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 5
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Basel

Lugano
1 - 3
Basel

Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 1-0 Luzern
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: SLO 1-1 Basel
Saturday, December 2 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
35.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 24.37% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.3% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.85% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (-0.012 -0.01)42.87% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-0.012 -0.01)65.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.9% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)58.11% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.01400000000001 0.01)21.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.32% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 35.32%
    Basel 40.3%
    Draw 24.37%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.3%

How you voted: Lugano vs Basel

Lugano
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Basel
44.4%
9
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Lugano
1-0
Basel
Mahou (33')
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Basel
0-2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')
Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')
May 22, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 36
Basel
2-1
Lugano
Males (6'), Kasami (71')
Ndoye (30'), Pavlovic (34'), Kasami (72')
Kasami (74')
El Amine Amoura (27')
Ruegg (59'), Mahmoud (62')
Mahmoud (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Young Boys000067323565
2LuganoLugano000061441759
3Servette000053381557
4St GallenSt Gallen00005344950
5FC WinterthurWinterthur00005556-149
6FC Zurich00004435948
Relegation Round
1Luzern00004146-544
2Lausanne SportLausanne00004348-540
3Yverdon Sport00004364-2140
4Basel00004151-1040
5Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper00003545-1030
6Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO00003366-3323
 
Regular Season
1Young Boys33198667323565
2LuganoLugano331851061441759
3Servette33169853381557
4St GallenSt Gallen33148115344950
5FC WinterthurWinterthur331310105556-149
6FC Zurich33121294435948
7Luzern33128134146-544
8Lausanne SportLausanne331010134348-540
9Basel33117154151-1040
10Yverdon Sport33117154364-2140
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper3386193545-1030
12Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3358203366-3323


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