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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Chicago Fire

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Acosta (83')
Miazga (54'), Barreal (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Souquet (38'), Shaqiri (67'), Haile-Selassie (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire do have the ability to cause their hosts problems on Saturday, having hit three goals in two of their last three outings, but we anticipate them being too vulnerable defensively and not having enough to take a result against the MLS' form side. Now full of confidence on the back of five consecutive league wins, Pat Noonan's men will back themselves to again come out on top on home turf.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
56.44% (-1.423 -1.42) 23.18% (0.395 0.4) 20.39% (1.027 1.03)
Both teams to score 51.77% (0.4 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.296 -0.3)47.96% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.273 -0.27)70.14% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)16.79% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.078 -1.08)46.75% (1.077 1.08)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.92 0.92)37.78% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.882 0.88)74.56% (-0.884 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 56.43%
    Chicago Fire 20.39%
    Draw 23.17%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 56.43%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.221 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Jun 24, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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