Nacional

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Atletico Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Nacional in this match.