Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
0 - 1
Famalicao

Nogueira (51'), Correia (67'), Jo (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sa (45+2')
Chiquinho (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Porto
Saturday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, May 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Chaves almost at the point of no return, they will have to throw caution to the wind in this contest. However, we feel Famalicao may net an early goal and successfully negotiate the remainder of the contest to secure the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Famalicao
25.95% ( 0)	24.99% ( 0)	49.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

-0.02)

49.94% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07% (

-0.02)

71.93% (

0.02)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

-0.01)

33.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

-0.01)

70.42% (

0.01)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62% (

-0.01)

20.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

-0.02)

52.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chaves 25.95%

Famalicao 49.06%

Draw 24.99%

Chaves	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.95%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.06%