La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Sevilla

Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Turegano 0-4 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, November 1 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Quintanar 0-3 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 1 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Sevilla

Sevilla have so much talent, and it would not be a surprise to see them find a run of wins in the not too distant future. Celta are really struggling, meanwhile, and we are therefore backing the visitors to secure an important three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Sevilla
40.32% ( -4.17)	26.33% ( 0.11)	33.35% ( 4.07)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.05% (

0.95)

51.94% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

0.81)

73.68% (

-0.81)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

-1.69)

25.35% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

-2.37)

60.14% (

2.37)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58% (

3.3)

29.42% (

-3.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

3.86)

65.41% (

-3.86)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 40.32%

Sevilla 33.35%

Draw 26.32%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -1.02) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.65) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.32%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.53) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.35%