La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 12, 2021 at 8pm UK

Balaidos

Celta Vigo
3 - 4
Sevilla

Aspas (20' pen., 23'), Mendez (43')
Aspas (10'), Mallo (50'), Mendez (74')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Kounde (7'), Fernando (35'), Rakitic (60'), Papu (76')
Kounde (19'), Carlos (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Sevilla
20.35%	24.57%	55.07%

Both teams to score 47.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45%

53.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94%

75.06%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.97%

41.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.42%

77.58%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.63%

19.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.83%

51.17%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 20.35%

Sevilla 55.06%

Draw 24.57%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 7.08% 2-1 @ 5.18% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.35%	1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 13.04% 0-2 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.06%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo

15.4%

Draw

21.2%

Sevilla

63.5%