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Notts County
League Two | 1st Leg
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Notts County
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon


Macarai (65'), Jones (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harbottle (59')
Hippolyte (43'), Neufville (64'), Tilley (76'), Bugiel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
43.92% (2.693 2.69)26.08% (-0.297 -0.3)30% (-2.39 -2.39)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (0.381 0.38)52.01% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.328 0.33)73.75% (-0.322 -0.32)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (1.518 1.52)23.56% (-1.512 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (2.143 2.14)57.62% (-2.137 -2.14)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-1.465 -1.46)31.74% (1.471 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (-1.718 -1.72)68.16% (1.725 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 43.91%
    AFC Wimbledon 30%
    Draw 26.08%
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.551 0.55)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.319 0.32)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.178 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.488 -0.49)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.495 -0.5)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30%

How you voted: Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon

Notts County
44.1%
Draw
29.4%
AFC Wimbledon
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Notts County
Lewis (21'), Smith (35')
Bugiel (76')

Palmer (70')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Platt (67')
Macarai (13'), Platt (64'), Abbott (90+1')

Harbottle (9'), Furlong (90')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

O'Brien (24'), Cameron (60')
Rawlinson (80' og.), Balmer (85')
O'Toole (15'), Tilley (20'), Reeves (33'), Bugiel (55'), Bass (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
4-2
Notts County
Reeves (29' pen., 86' pen.), Al-Hamadi (41', 90+2')
Lewis (22'), Currie (38')
Langstaff (62'), Nemane (67')
Jones (45+4')
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0


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