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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 43.92% ( | 26.08% ( | 30% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( | 52.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( | 23.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( | 57.62% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( | 31.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.84% ( | 68.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 30% |