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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 36.95% ( | 29.75% ( | 33.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.61% ( | 64.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.54% ( | 83.46% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( | 70.04% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( | 35.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( | 72.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.74% | 0-1 @ 12.28% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.3% |