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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
AFC Wimbledon

Gillingham
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Gbode (64')
Rowe (81'), Clarke (86'), Hutton (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Foyo (44'), Hutchinson (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Gillingham
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Chesterfield
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawAFC Wimbledon
36.95% (0.71 0.71)29.75% (0.016000000000002 0.02)33.3% (-0.725 -0.73)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.61% (-0.107 -0.11)64.39% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)83.46% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.40599999999999 0.41)33.41% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (0.441 0.44)70.04% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (-0.571 -0.57)35.88% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (-0.591 -0.59)72.66% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 36.95%
    AFC Wimbledon 33.3%
    Draw 29.74%
GillinghamDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 11.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 12.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon

Gillingham
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
AFC Wimbledon
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Gillingham
Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
rhs 2.0


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