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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
AFC Wimbledon

Gillingham
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Gbode (64')
Rowe (81'), Clarke (86'), Hutton (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Foyo (44'), Hutchinson (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Gillingham
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Chesterfield
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

Wimbledon have been hard to breach of late, but we are backing Gillingham to get themselves on the scoresheet, albeit all to no avail in a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawAFC Wimbledon
36.95% (0.71 0.71) 29.75% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 33.3% (-0.725 -0.73)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.61% (-0.107 -0.11)64.39% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)83.46% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.40599999999999 0.41)33.41% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (0.441 0.44)70.04% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (-0.571 -0.57)35.88% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (-0.591 -0.59)72.66% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 36.95%
    AFC Wimbledon 33.3%
    Draw 29.74%
GillinghamDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 11.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 12.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon

Gillingham
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
AFC Wimbledon
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Gillingham
Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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