League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)

Gillingham
1 - 0
MK Dons

Dack (90+5')
Gbode (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Offord (34'), Sanders (64'), Gilbey (81'), Thompson-Sommers (84'), Thompson-Sommers (84')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	MK Dons
44.05% ( -0.32)	26.49% ( 0.09)	29.47% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 50.66% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.16% (

-0.27)

53.84% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.69% (

-0.23)

75.31% (

0.22)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

-0.28)

24.3% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.32% (

-0.39)

58.68% (

0.39)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

0.03)

33.07% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

0.03)

69.67% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 44.05%

MK Dons 29.47%

Draw 26.49%

Gillingham	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.05%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.47%