League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 2
MK Dons

Dennis (26'), Harris (45+4')
Vela (3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Tomlinson (6'), Gilbey (37')
Nemane (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Bromley
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	MK Dons
34.85% ( -0.48)	26.37% ( -0.37)	38.78% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.15% (

1.46)

51.85% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

1.26)

73.61% (

-1.25)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.41)

28.42% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

0.52)

64.18% (

-0.52)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

1.16)

26.14% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79% (

1.54)

61.21% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 34.85%

MK Dons 38.78%

Draw 26.37%

Carlisle United	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.78%