League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
Bromley

Wearne (13'), Whelan (54')
Davies (56'), Harper (62'), Vela (69'), Bevan (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McKirdy (28')
McKirdy (28'), Webster (47'), Major (69'), Vela (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bromley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Bromley

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 2-2 Walsall
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Bromley win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Bromley
40.58% ( -0.15)	27.05% ( 0.12)	32.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.93% (

-0.45)

55.07% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.67% (

-0.37)

76.33% (

0.37)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-0.29)

26.64% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12% (

-0.39)

61.88% (

0.38)

Bromley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

-0.2)

31.64% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

-0.24)

68.05% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 40.58%

Bromley 32.36%

Draw 27.05%

Carlisle United	Draw	Bromley
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.36%