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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
| 36.34% | 29.69% ( | 33.96% |
| Both teams to score 42.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.71% | 83.29% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% | 33.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% | 70.33% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% | 35.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.96% | 72.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.69% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.96% |