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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 47.21% ( | 27.54% ( | 25.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.1% ( | 59.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.84% ( | 80.16% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( | 25.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( | 60.28% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( | 39.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( | 76.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-2 @ 4.02% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 25.25% |