Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.