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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 34.23% ( | 28.85% ( | 36.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.63% ( | 61.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.73% ( | 81.27% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( | 70.27% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( | 31.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( | 68.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.92% |