Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.