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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 61.93% ( | 21.15% ( | 16.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( | 44.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( | 66.85% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( | 13.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( | 41.16% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.36% ( | 39.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.68% ( | 76.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.92% |