League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 0
Harrogate

Evans (2'), Baker-Richardson (15'), Clarke (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 5-0 Newport
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Harrogate Town
36.53% ( 0.09)	27.26% ( -0.01)	36.21% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61% (

0.02)

55.39% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41% (

0.02)

76.59% (

-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

0.07)

29.12% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

0.08)

65.04% (

-0.08)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68% (

-0.04)

29.32% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

-0.05)

65.29% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Newport County 36.53%

Harrogate Town 36.2%

Draw 27.25%

Newport County	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.53%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.2%