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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
| 56.69% ( | 24.2% ( | 19.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( | 53.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( | 75.12% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( | 18.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( | 42.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.18% ( | 78.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.32% ( 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.11% |