League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Carlisle

Mandeville (73'), Madden (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hugill (89')
Hugill (70'), Thomas (90+3')
Embleton (40')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Carlisle United
56.55%	22.87%	20.59%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.59%

46.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.31%

68.69%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8%

16.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31%

45.69%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31%

36.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52%

73.48%

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 56.54%

Carlisle United 20.59%

Draw 22.86%

Chesterfield	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.85% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.54%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 5.96% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.59%