Chesterfield vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.