League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
3 - 0
Carlisle

Bailey (36'), Gibson (68'), Clifton (73')
Broadbent (18'), Sterry (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
52.51% ( 0)	25.08% ( 0.01)	22.41% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.79% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.69% (

-0.04)

53.31% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-0.04)

74.86% (

0.04)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

-0.01)

20.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

-0.02)

52.67% (

0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.21% (

-0.03)

38.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.03)

75.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 52.5%

Carlisle United 22.41%

Draw 25.08%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.5%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.41%