League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • George Broadbent 18' yellowcard
  • Owen Bailey 36' goal
  • Jordan Gibson 68' goal
  • Jamie Sterry 69' yellowcard
  • Harry Clifton 73' goal

Doncaster Rovers vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 12.30pm
Crewe 1 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Luke Molyneux

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
Carlisle 2 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result

Doncaster Rovers 52.51% (+0.01)
Draw 25.08% (+0.01)
Carlisle United 22.41% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.79% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.69% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.31% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.14% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.86% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.44% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.55% (+0.03)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 79.7% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.33% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.67% (+0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 61.21% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.79% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.48% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.52% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 52.5%
Draw 25.08%
Carlisle United 22.41%
Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 12.55% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.08%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.41%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Maxwell 5'
  • yellowcard Luke Molyneux 31'
  • yellowcard Jay McGrath 45'+1'
  • redcard Jay McGrath 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • James Maxwell 5' goal
  • Kyle Hurst 67' goal
  • goal Kristian Dennis 87'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Callum Guy 44' goal
  • Jack Stretton 53' goal
  • Jack Stretton 66' goal
FA Cup
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Joshua Kayode 43' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 78' goal
  • goal Ben Whiteman 32'
  • goal Ben Whiteman 40'
League Two
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke Joyce 18' yellowcard
  • Nicky Adams 34' goal
  • Macauley Gillesphey 55' yellowcard
  • Niall Mason 85' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 56'
  • yellowcard Ian Lawlor 82'
  • goal Tommy Rowe 90'
League Two
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tommy Rowe 18' goal
  • John Marquis 44' goal
  • John Marquis 93' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Miller 15'
  • yellowcard Danny Grainger 49'
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 79'