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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 41.37% ( | 27.12% ( | 31.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% ( | 55.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( | 76.73% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( | 61.63% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( | 32.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( | 69.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.51% |