League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 0
MK Dons

McGoldrick (47'), Tsaroulla (54'), Jarvis (74')
Palmer (52'), Edwards (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson-Sommers (34'), Gilbey (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 0-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 2-4 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	MK Dons
50.2% ( -0.59)	23.44% ( 0.01)	26.36% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12% (

0.43)

42.88% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.72% (

0.43)

65.28% (

-0.43)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

-0.05)

17.19% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

-0.1)

47.46% (

0.1)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

0.67)

29.69% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

0.81)

65.74% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Notts County 50.2%

MK Dons 26.36%

Draw 23.44%

Notts County	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.2%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.44%	1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.36%