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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Fleetwood Town

MK Dons
2 - 4
Fleetwood

Orsi (27'), Hogan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Virtue (45'), Bolton (49'), Marsh (59'), Devonport (71')
Neal (16'), Rooney (66')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Tranmere
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawFleetwood Town
41.8% (0.055999999999997 0.06)26.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.047999999999995 0.05)54.36% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (0.051999999999992 0.05)25.67% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)60.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 41.8%
    Fleetwood Town 31.4%
    Draw 26.8%
MK DonsDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.4%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Fleetwood
2-1
MK Dons
Broom (33'), Rooney (68')
Bonds (14'), Coughlin (42'), Wiredu (45+2'), Rooney (83')
O'Reilly (81')
White (14'), Hendry (90+6'), Hendry (90+6')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Fleetwood
1-0
MK Dons
Omochere (44')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
MK Dons
1-2
Fleetwood
O'Hora (52')
Johnston (72'), Batty (90+1')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Fleetwood
1-1
MK Dons
Lane (51')
Biggins (47'), Butterworth (73'), Pilkington (82')
Darling (12')
Watson (82'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
3-3
Fleetwood
Twine (27', 39', 73')
O'Riley (81')
G (12'), Garner (32'), Batty (88')
Rossiter (63'), Biggins (78')