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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 41.8% ( | 26.8% ( | 31.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( | 54.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( | 75.74% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( | 25.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( | 60.58% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.4% |