League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 2
Notts County

Evans (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Whitaker (6', 63')
Palmer (47'), Platt (71')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 22 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Notts County
29.43% ( 0.13)	24.26% ( 0.02)	46.31% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 57.83% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

-0)

44.48% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

-0)

66.85% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.09)

28.3% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.11)

64.02% (

-0.11)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.06)

19.34% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

-0.1)

51.12% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Newport County 29.43%

Notts County 46.31%

Draw 24.26%

Newport County	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.43%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.31%